26
Apr
2013

ERP Forecast

Mr. Kapinos has developed a process of construction of forecasts of demand that combines statistical methods of assessment of demand with the judgment and discretion of those who know the business. This process is developed by a group of knowledgeable people and each of them adds value to the process of construction of the prognosis. The tools used to support this process are Forecast Pro Unlimited, Forecast Pro Unlimited Collaborator and Forecast Pro XE. Solution we have a comprehensive solution to Forecast Pro, says Kapinos. We use Forecast Pro Unlimited as the central core of our demand planning process.

In this system of generates and debugged the company forecast. After that we establish with clarity the prognosis, this is fed to our ERP system in which, based on this forecast, proceeds to execute the processes of purchasing, planning and programming and production. One of our main challenges in relation to the prognosis is really understand which is the actual demand. We started with the creation, relatively conservative, of the forecast based on historical records. We normally use the Forecast Pro Unlimited selection expert system to generate this first stage. Shaping the abnormal conditions that may occur in the future, we make use of the functionality of events, which allows you to include promotions, effects of climate, etc. This is our starting point.

Later, this forecast base (Kapinos calls it a standard forecast), happens to be reviewed by the Manager of demand and by the representatives of service customer, who make a detailed review of the projections using the Forecast Pro Unlimited Collaborator. The representatives of service to the customer are responsible for include variants on the standard prognosis, including elements that can happen on the field and that generated deviations in demand. The team dedicated to debug the prognosis have direct interaction with the sales people who also know of events and situations that should be reflected in the forecast model.

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